Business-As-Usual (BAU) Scenario
The land use and emissions profile for a forest carbon project area prior to intervention, serves as a bench mark to measure the impact of REDD actions. Also referred to as "baseline."
"Definitions and Jargon" Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation (REDD): A Casebook of On-the-Ground Experience. 2010. The Nature Conservancy, Conservation International and Wildlife Conservation Society. Arlington,Virginia. http://www.hedon.info/docs/REDD_Casebook-TNC-CIWCS.pdf
The term "business as usual" refers to the best estimates available to FAO of the likely evolution in food availability, agricultural output, population, incomes and a host of other variables related to nutrition under the assumption that no extra effort is made to meet the World Food Summit (1996) target.
SOFI , FAO, 2003 (J0083)